Regime read: **NEUTRAL** (score -1/8). DXY is strengthening (+0.19%), a headwind for long crypto scalps. VIX at 15.9 is calm — normal spread/liquidity conditions expected. NQ futures are down 0.87% — a headwind against risk-on crypto flow during the US/London overlap. Note: BTC/NQ correlation is currently low — the TradFi read above should carry less weight than usual today. BTC dominance is 59.1% (-0.04pp vs yesterday). USDT dominance is falling (-0.00pp) — dry powder is deploying, tailwind for longs. CVD/price divergence detected on BTCUSDT over the last 24h — watch for a stop run or reversal before chasing the current move. 2 risk flag(s) raised — see below before sizing up.
Regime Score
Signal
Score
DXY
+0
VIX
+0
NQ
-1
USDT.D
+0
Flags
BTC/NQ correlation is low (-0.01 over 20d) — treat this as a decoupled regime and downweight DXY/NQ signals.
BTCUSDT CVD/price divergence: price up (1.40%) but taker flow down — possible exhaustion/reversal setup.