Regime read: NEUTRAL (score +0/8). DXY is strengthening (+0.24%), a headwind for long crypto scalps. VIX at 15.3 is calm — normal spread/liquidity conditions expected. NQ futures are up 0.17% — supportive of risk-on crypto flow during the US/London overlap. Note: BTC/NQ correlation is currently low — the TradFi read above should carry less weight than usual today. BTC dominance is 59.2% (+0.09pp vs yesterday). USDT dominance is rising (+0.01pp) — capital is moving to stables, headwind for longs. CVD/price divergence detected on BTCUSDT over the last 24h — watch for a stop run or reversal before chasing the current move. 2 risk flag(s) raised — see below before sizing up.
Regime Score
Signal
Score
DXY
+0
VIX
+0
NQ
+0
USDT.D
+0
Flags
BTC/NQ correlation is low (-0.07 over 20d) — treat this as a decoupled regime and downweight DXY/NQ signals.
BTCUSDT CVD/price divergence: price up (0.33%) but taker flow down — possible exhaustion/reversal setup.